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Area affected by wildfires in Europe could almost triple due to climate change

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Increasingly hot, dry and windy conditions could substantially extend the area affected by wildfires across Europe, according to a new study led by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) with contributions from the Senckenberg Society for Nature Research. In a low-emissions scenario (SSP1-2.6), the researchers calculate that roughly 39% more land would be burned per year by the end of the century compared with today's average. In a high-emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0), it would be around 192%.

Key takeaways

  • 01Increasingly hot, dry and windy conditions could substantially extend the area affected by wildfires across Europe, according to a new study led by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) with contributions from the Senckenberg Society for Nature Research.
  • 02In a low-emissions scenario (SSP1-2.6), the researchers calculate that roughly 39% more land would be burned per year by the end of the century compared with today's average.
  • 03In a high-emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0), it would be around 192%.
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